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1st Sailing the Macro Workshop - Ventotene 2021

September 16-18, 2021 | Ventotene, Italy

Sapienza University's 1st Sailing the Macro Workshop took place on the Island of Ventotene on September 16-18, 2021. The aim of this three-day workshop was to bring together researchers in the field of theoretical and applied macroeconomics to promote and discuss their current works and ideas.

Keynote Speakers

Salvatore Nisticò

Salvatore Nisticò

ECB and Sapienza University

Giorgio Primiceri

Giorgio Primiceri

Northwestern University

Giuseppe Ragusa

Giuseppe Ragusa

University of Pisa

Conference Program

09:00 - 09:40
Keynote

Keynote Presentation

Giorgio Primiceri, Northwestern University

Parallel Sessions 1A & 1B

09:50 - 11:35

Parallel Session 1A

Chair: Giorgio Primiceri

09:50-10:25

Estimating Hysteresis Effects

Francesco Furlanetto, Antoine Lepetit, Ørjan Robstad, Juan Rubio-Ramirez, Pal Ulvedal

10:25-11:00

Bad News, Good News: Coverage and Response Asymmetries

Luca Gambetti, Nicolo' Maffei Faccioli, Sarah Zoi

11:00-11:35

Business Cycle Fluctuations: Financial Shocks versus Uncertainty Shocks

Wouter Van der Veken, Roberto A. De Santis

09:50 - 11:35

Parallel Session 1B

Chair: Luca Zamparelli

09:50-10:25

The Long-Run Phillips Curve is...a curve

Guido Ascari, Paolo Bonomolo, Qazi Haque

10:25-11:00

Supply Shocks in a Heterogeneous Agent Economy: Evidence and Theory

Francesco Saverio Gaudio, Ivan Petrella, Emiliano Santoro

11:00-11:35

Firms' ex-ante Heterogeneity, Entry and the Labour Share

Jakob Grazzini, Lorenza Rossi

11:35 - 12:15

Poster Session 1

Chair: Massimiliano Tancioni

Inflation persistence

Emanuele Franceschi

Optimal monetary policy and intrinsic inflation persistence

Carolina Serpieri, Giovanni Di Bartolomeo

Heterogeneous Decline in Sectoral Business Dynamism

Riccardo Silvestrini

Secured and unsecured credit cycles

Costanza Giannantoni, Valeria Patella, Massimiliano Tancioni

Firm Dynamics with Coworker Learning

Gabriele Macci

Nowcasting – developing the sources and methods to improve high-frequency labour market forecasting

Tesi Aliaj, Milos Ciganovic, Massimiliano Tancioni

Parallel Sessions 1A & 1B (continued)

12:15 - 13:25

Parallel Session 1A (continued)

Chair: Giorgio Primiceri

12:15-12:50

Global value chains and the dynamics of UK inflation

Aydan Dogan, Tommaso Aquilante, Melih Firat

12:50-13:25

Global Spillovers of the Fed Information Effect

Marco Pinchetti, Andrzej Szczepaniak

12:15 - 13:25

Parallel Session 1B (continued)

Chair: Luca Zamparelli

12:15-12:50

Credit Markets, Relationship Lending, and the Dynamics of firm entry

Qingqing Cao, Paolo Giordani, Raoul Minetti, Pierluigi Murro

12:50-13:25

Unemployment, Firm Dynamics, and the Business Cycle

Andrea Colciago, Stefano Fasani, Lorenza Rossi

09:00 - 09:40
Keynote

Keynote Presentation

Salvatore Nisticò, ECB and Sapienza University of Rome

Parallel Sessions 2A & 2B

09:50 - 11:35

Parallel Session 2A

Chair: Elton Beqiraj

09:50-10:25

What are the Sources of Boom-Bust Cycles?

Marco Brianti, Vito Cormun

10:25-11:00

A Structural Investigation of Quantitative Easing

Gregor Boehl, Gavin Goy, Felix Strobelc

11:00-11:35

Monetary policy shocks over the business cycle: Extending the Smooth Transition framework

Michele Piffer, Martin Bruns

09:50 - 11:35

Parallel Session 2B

Chair: Salvatore Nisticò

09:50-10:25

The unbearable lightness of equilibria in a low interest rate environment

Guido Ascari, Sophocles Mavroeidis

10:25-11:00

The Effectiveness of a Negative Interest Rate Policy

Marco Onofri, Gert Peersman, Frank Smets

11:00-11:35

The (Ir)Relevance of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers for U.S. Business Cycle Fluctuations

Alice Albonico, Guido Ascari, Qazi Haque

11:35 - 12:15

Poster Session 2

Chair: Elton Beqiraj

Bank Heterogeneity and Mortgage Supply under Negative Policy Rates

Luisa Lambertini, Yu Wu

Forbearance vs foreclosure in a general equilibrium model

Bianca Barbaro, Patrizio Tirelli

Preventive monetary and macroprudential policy response to anticipated shocks to financial stability

Konstantin Styrin, Alexander Tishin

Asset Price Bubbles with Low Interest Rates: Not All Bubbles are Likely to Emerge

Jacopo Bonchi, Francesco Simone Lucidi

Has the Fed ever responded to stock market bubbles? Evidence from non linear VARs

Federica Vassalli, Massimiliano Tancioni

Undesired effects of monetary policy in a bubbly economy: some empirical findings and a theoretical explanation

Giuseppe Ciccarone, Francesco Giuli, Enrico Marchetti, Valeria Patella, Massimiliano Tancioni

Parallel Sessions 2A & 2B (continued)

12:15 - 13:25

Parallel Session 2A (continued)

Chair: Elton Beqiraj

12:50-13:25

A tail of labor supply and a tale of monetary policy

Cristiano Cantore, Filippo Ferroni, Haroon Mumtaz, Angeliki Theophilopoulou

12:15 - 13:25

Parallel Session 2B (continued)

Chair: Salvatore Nisticò

12:15-12:50

Monetary Policy and Payment-to-Income Limits in Liquidity Traps

Alessandro Lin

12:50-13:25

Whither Liquidity Shocks?

Giorgio Massari, Patrizio Tirelli

09:00 - 09:40
Keynote

Keynote Presentation

Giuseppe Ragusa, University of Pisa

Parallel Sessions 3A & 3B

09:50 - 11:35

Parallel Session 3A

Chair: Giuseppe Ragusa

09:50-10:25

A new macro-financial condition index for the euro area

Claudio Morana

10:25-11:00

Bargaining power and the Phillips curve: a micro-macro analysis

Marco Lombardi, Marianna Riggi, Eliana Viviano

11:00-11:35

Inflation expectations and the ECB's perceived inflation objective: novel evidence from firm-level data

Alex Tagliabracci, Marco Bottone, Giordano Zevi

09:50 - 11:35

Parallel Session 3B

Chair: Paolo Giordani

09:50-10:25

Exchange Rate Disconnect Redux

Ryan Chahrour, Vito Cormun, Pierre De Leo, Pablo Guerron-Quintana, Rosen Valchev

10:25-11:00

Fiscal Rules and Discretion with Risk of Default

Chiara Felli, Facundo Piguillem, Liyan Shi

11:00-11:35

Sovereign default and imperfect tax enforcement

Francesco Pappada', Yanos Zylberberg

11:35 - 12:15

Poster Session 3

Chair: Francesco Lippi

Production networks and fiscal multiplier

Alessandro De Sanctis

The macroeconomic effects of climate shocks in Europe

Francesco Simone Lucidi, Marta Maria Pisa, Massimiliano Tancioni

A News-based Policy Index for Italy: Expectations and Fiscal Policy

Daniela Fantozzi, Alessio Muscarnera

Lovebirds: Story of two inseparable orthogonal shocks

Lorenzo Marchetti, Massimiliano Tancioni

Sources of output variability and risk-sharing channels in the US and the euro area

Paolo D'Imperio, Massimiliano Tancioni

Parallel Sessions 3A & 3B (continued)

12:15 - 13:25

Parallel Session 3A (continued)

Chair: Giuseppe Ragusa

12:15-12:50

The Macroeconomic Effects of the Gender Revolution

Drago Bergholt, Luca Fosso, Francesco Furlanetto

12:50-13:25

The transmission of oil price shocks through the US banking sector

Paolo Gelain, Marco Lorusso

12:15 - 13:25

Parallel Session 3B (continued)

Chair: Paolo Giordani

12:15-12:50

Corporate Taxation and Carbon Emissions

Luigi Iovino, Thorsten Martin, Julien Sauvagnat

12:50-13:25

Fiscal Stimulus of Last Resort

Alessandro Piergallini